Here it is! Climate change driving hydrology - imagine that!
'A Decade of Sea Level Rise Slowed by Climate-Driven Hydrology', by J. T. Reager1, A. S. Gardner, J. S. Famiglietti, D. N. Wiese, A. Eicker, M.-H. Lo, Science 12 Feb 2016: Vol. 351, Issue 6274, pp. 699-703, DOI: 10.1126/science.aad8386
Download Reager-SM (supplemental materials)
Here is the blurb form the article's homepage, followed by the abstract
By Land or by Sea
How much of an effect does terrestrial groundwater storage have on sea-level rise? Reager et al. used gravity measurements made between 2002 and 2014 by NASA's Gravity Recovery And Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellites to quantify variations in groundwater storage. Combining those data with estimates of mass loss by glaciers revealed groundwater's impact on sea-level change. Net groundwater storage has been increasing, and the greatest regional changes, both positive and negative, are associated with climate-driven variability in precipitation. Thus, groundwater storage has slowed the rate of recent sea-level rise by roughly 15%.
Climate-driven changes in land water storage and their contributions to sea level rise have been absent from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change sea level budgets owing to observational challenges. Recent advances in satellite measurement of time-variable gravity combined with reconciled global glacier loss estimates enable a disaggregation of continental land mass changes and a quantification of this term. We found that between 2002 and 2014, climate variability resulted in an additional 3200 ± 900 gigatons of water being stored on land. This gain partially offset water losses from ice sheets, glaciers, and groundwater pumping, slowing the rate of sea level rise by 0.71 ± 0.20 millimeters per year. These findings highlight the importance of climate-driven changes in hydrology when assigning attribution to decadal changes in sea level. [Click on the graphic to to enlarge it.]
There's more to come, I'm sure.
“When a true genius appears in the world, you may know him by this sign, that the dunces are all in a confederacy against him.” - Jonathan Swift, Thoughts on Various Subjects, Moral and Diverting